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Statistics / Public opinion / Survey methodology / Opinion poll / Psychometrics / Uniform national swing / Swing / Labour Party / FiveThirtyEight / Politics / Elections in the United Kingdom / Psephology


Combining national and constituency polling for forecasting Chris Hanretty, Ben Lauderdale, Nick Vivyan Abstract We describe a method for forecasting British general elections by combining national and constituency polli
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Document Date: 2015-05-13 07:30:16

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City

London / /

Country

United Kingdom / Northern Ireland / /

Organization

Conservative party / European Union / European Parliament / Liberal Democrats / Plaid Cymru / /

Person

Ben Lauderdale / Chris Hanretty / John Wiley / /

PoliticalEvent

Parliament elections / general elections / general election / /

Position

MP / first-term MP / incumbent MP / Fisher / model for estimating current constituency opinion / /

Technology

SNP / simulation / /

URL

www.electionforecast.co.uk.1 / /

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